Operational frost predictions with a simple probability model | The Meteorological Society of New Zealand

Operational frost predictions with a simple probability model

Year: 
1988
Volume: 
8
Issue: 
2
Author(s): 
S. Goulter
D. Vere-Jones
Abstract: 

Every year in Spring orchardists in Central Otago need to fight potentially damaging frost, generally by water sprinkler systems. The performance of a simple frost prediction model developed in the mid-seventies is discussed, based on its operational use in the years 1982-1986. Consideration is given to details of its operational use, with results of a preliminary investigation of the more severe errors.

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