May the odds be with you - Seasonal and multi-seasonal prediction | The Meteorological Society of New Zealand

May the odds be with you - Seasonal and multi-seasonal prediction

Year: 
1996
Volume: 
16
Issue: 
2
Author(s): 
M. Voice
G. Beard
C. Mullen
Abstract: 

This paper overviews the current status of seasonal and multi-seasonal prediction with particular emphasis on systems in operational use in various National Meteorological Services and with some comment on application to the Australian-New Zealand region. Australian experience with verification of operational outlooks, and with customer understanding and use of probabilities is described. Examples of recent uses for probability-based forecasts are given and some issues and options for customer focus are discussed.

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